Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 1452.541784 1689.613990 1966.646881 2317.724533 2755.732686 3290.872770 4.004697e+03
2024-12-15 1118.852947 1408.852353 1786.462177 2327.164453 3104.221125 4218.908926 6.016293e+03
2024-12-22 936.398745 1234.444712 1648.193033 2287.201626 3294.255297 4908.741401 7.908138e+03
2024-12-29 833.290335 1140.676360 1590.804241 2332.820880 3602.826177 5862.666979 1.069948e+04
2025-01-05 726.916272 1021.941736 1470.831981 2247.143636 3661.740618 6395.095088 1.298158e+04
2025-01-12 647.481104 931.021568 1376.782272 2180.579539 3729.661231 6960.094101 1.569751e+04
2025-01-19 581.622323 852.188587 1289.413524 2106.518093 3760.377803 7455.166479 1.860574e+04
2025-01-26 557.620992 836.600000 1303.462315 2217.300948 4191.300249 9038.969948 2.620196e+04
2025-02-02 529.810742 810.981421 1295.793080 2283.855586 4546.184345 10613.429110 3.580472e+04
2025-02-09 504.481059 786.439476 1286.139812 2343.681061 4903.914876 12398.087178 4.928233e+04
2025-02-16 473.115425 748.024211 1245.752752 2330.977483 5079.175121 13733.723522 6.333849e+04
2025-02-23 455.890248 732.892521 1247.308211 2409.943184 5522.015921 16280.939589 9.237029e+04
2025-03-02 438.416682 717.477919 1250.112657 2502.324390 6069.914214 19832.312888 1.478098e+05
2025-03-09 414.984155 689.028546 1223.942086 2523.391356 6427.591601 23031.871359 2.260315e+05
2025-03-16 388.341548 651.803727 1174.801408 2477.402379 6556.046725 25322.528932 3.187938e+05
2025-03-23 372.501517 633.901712 1164.147576 2528.315887 7040.134319 30180.839862 5.629576e+05
2025-03-30 346.882659 594.590429 1102.820147 2433.130173 6965.625129 31676.260129 7.604429e+05
2025-04-06 325.294010 561.669508 1052.276692 2359.293952 6951.262527 33662.581388 1.089295e+06
2025-04-13 305.070138 530.043744 1001.626150 2277.220935 6880.650922 35261.441229 1.541098e+06
2025-04-20 300.383629 529.553419 1021.211946 2400.020422 7709.768897 45625.341813 5.181379e+06
2025-04-27 292.647748 522.087009 1023.809724 2473.891073 8377.325821 56548.579004 2.327752e+07
2025-05-04 284.887005 513.916692 1023.804370 2540.353545 9057.864710 70080.789014 3.322522e+08
2025-05-11 273.222819 496.562386 999.831022 2526.235889 9337.632947 79851.973415 2.433607e+11